The
Federal Reserve recently raised its target federal
funds rate for the first time since March 2000. This
could be just the tip of the iceberg, though, as many
experts believe rising inflation and a strengthening
economy will spur continued rate hikes for the
foreseeable future.
This is bad news for bond investors,
since bonds lose value as interest rates rise. The
reason stems from the fact coupon rates for most bonds
are fixed when the bonds are issued. So, as rates rise
and new bonds with higher coupon rates become
available, investors are willing to pay less for
existing bonds with lower coupon rates.
So what can you do to protect your
fixed-income investments as rates rise? Well, here are
five ideas to help you, and your portfolio, weather
the storm.
1. Treasury Inflation Protected
Securities (TIPS)
First issued by the U.S. Treasury in
1997, TIPS are bonds with a portion of their value
pegged to the inflation rate. As a result, if
inflation rises, so will the value of your TIPS. Since
interest rates rarely move higher unless accompanied
by rising inflation, TIPS can be a good hedge against
higher rates. Because the Federal government issues
TIPS, they carry no default risk and are easy to
purchase, either through a broker or directly from the
government at www.treasurydirect.gov.
TIPS are not for everyone, though.
First, while inflation and interest rates often move
in tandem, their correlation is not perfect. As a
result, it is possible rates could rise even without
inflation moving higher. Second, TIPS generally yield
less than traditional Treasuries. For example, the
10-year Treasury note recently yielded 4.75 percent,
while the corresponding 10-year TIPS yielded just 2.0
percent. And finally, because the principal of TIPS
increases with inflation, not the coupon payments, you
do not get any benefit from the inflation component of
these bonds until they mature.
If you decide TIPS makes sense for
you, try to hold them in a tax-sheltered account like
a 401(k) or IRA. While TIPS are not subject to state
or local taxes, you are required to pay annual federal
taxes not only on the interest payments you receive,
but also on the inflation-based principal gain, even
though you receive no benefit from this gain until
your bonds mature.
2. Floating rate loan funds
Floating rate loan funds are mutual
funds that invest in adjustable-rate commercial loans.
These are a bit like adjustable-rate mortgages, but
the loans are issued to large corporations in need of
short-term financing. They are unique in that the
yields on these loans, also called senior secured or
bank loans, adjust periodically to mirror changes in
market interest rates. As rates rise, so do the coupon
payments on these loans. This helps bond investors in
two ways: (1) it provides them more income as rates
rise, and (2) it keeps the principal value of these
loans stable, so they don't suffer the same
deterioration that afflicts most bond investments when
rates increase.
Investors need to be careful,
though. Most floating rate loans are made to
below-investment-grade companies. While there are
provisions in these loans to help ease the pain in
case of a default, investors should still look for
funds that have a broadly diversified portfolio and a
good track record for avoiding troubled companies.
3. Short-term bond funds
Another option for bond investors is
to shift their holdings from intermediate and
long-term bond funds into short-term bond funds (those
with average maturities between 1 and 3 years). While
prices of short-term bond funds do fall when interest
rates rise, they do not fall as fast or as far as
their longer-term cousins. And historically, the
decline in value of these short-term bond funds is
more than offset by their yields, which gradually
increase as rates climb.
4. Money-market funds
If capital preservation is your
concern, money market funds are for you. A
money-market fund is a special type of mutual fund
that invests only in very short-term money market
instruments. Since these instruments usually mature
within 60 days, they are not affected by changes in
market interest rates. As a result, funds that invest
in them are able to maintain a stable net asset value,
usually $1.00 per share, even when interest rates
climb.
While money-market funds are safe,
their yields are so low they hardly qualify as
investments. In fact, the average seven-day yield on
money-market funds is just 0.70 percent. Since the
average management fee for these funds is 0.60
percent, it does not take a genius to see that putting
your capital in a money-market fund is only slightly
better than stashing it under your mattress. But,
because the yields on money-market funds track changes
in market rates with only a short lag, these funds
could be yielding substantially more than 0.70 percent
by the end of the year if the Federal Reserve
continues to hike rates as expected.
5. Bond ladders
Laddering your bond portfolio simply
means buying individual bonds with staggered
maturities and holding them until they mature. Since
you are holding these bonds for their full duration,
you will be able to redeem them for face value
regardless of their current market value. This
strategy allows you to not only avoid the ravages of
higher rates, it also allows you to use these higher
rates to your advantage by reinvesting the proceeds
from your maturing bonds in newly-issued bonds with
higher coupon rates. Diversifying your bond portfolio
among 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year Treasuries is a good
start to a laddering strategy. As rates rise, you can
then broaden the ladder to include longer maturity
bonds.
David Twibell is President and Chief Investment
Officer of Flagship Capital Management, LLC, an
investment advisory firm in Colorado Springs,
Colorado. Flagship provides portfolio management
services to high-net-worth individuals, corporations,
and non-profit entities. For more information, please
visit www.flagship-capital.com.